The poll, conducted by Mizani Africa and released on April 29, highlights the growing influence of the ODM-aligned Linda Mwananchi movement, which reportedly commands a significant share of public support compared to its rivals.
According to the findings, the Linda Mwananchi faction within ODM has emerged as a dominant force, attracting more than half of respondents in the survey.
In contrast, UDA trails behind with a considerably smaller share, raising concerns within the ruling camp about its current standing among voters.
The survey also reveals that other political formations are struggling to make a meaningful impact.
The survey also reveals that other political formations are struggling to make a meaningful impact.
Parties such as the Democracy for the Citizens Party have registered only modest support, while smaller factions remain largely on the periphery of national influence.
A key highlight from the poll is the large number of undecided voters. A significant portion of respondents indicated they are not currently aligned with any political party—an indication that voter confidence remains fluid.
A key highlight from the poll is the large number of undecided voters. A significant portion of respondents indicated they are not currently aligned with any political party—an indication that voter confidence remains fluid.
Political analysts believe this group could play a decisive role in shaping the outcome of the 2027 General Election.
For UDA, the findings may act as an early warning, signaling the need to recalibrate its messaging and reconnect with constituents.
For UDA, the findings may act as an early warning, signaling the need to recalibrate its messaging and reconnect with constituents.
Meanwhile, ODM’s strong performance—particularly under the Linda Mwananchi banner—suggests effective grassroots mobilization and a message that resonates with sections of the electorate.
However, experts caution against overinterpreting early polling data. Opinion surveys reflect public sentiment at a specific moment and can shift rapidly depending on political developments, alliances, and campaign strategies.
However, experts caution against overinterpreting early polling data. Opinion surveys reflect public sentiment at a specific moment and can shift rapidly depending on political developments, alliances, and campaign strategies.